Climate Change and Insecurity: Mapping Vulnerability in Africa
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Climate Change and Insecurity: Mapping Vulnerability in Africa
Date:
26 April 2013
The Spring 2013 issue of International Security features an article by CCAPS researchers on mapping climate security vulnerability in Africa. The authors find that the places in Africa most vulnerable to the security consequences of climate change are parts of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Somalia, and South Sudan.
Climate Security and East Africa: A GIS-Based Analysis of Vulnerability
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Climate Security and East Africa: A GIS-Based Analysis of Vulnerability
Date:
26 April 2013
Climate Change and Pastoralism: Traditional Coping Mechanisms and Conflict in the Horn of Africa, published by the Institute for Peace and Security Studies and the University for Peace, includes a chapter by CCAPS researchers on applying a continent-wide model of climate security vulnerability to East Africa and identifying the hot spots of concern.
Climate Security Vulnerability Model, Version 3.0: Methodology
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Climate Security Vulnerability Model, Version 3.0: Methodology
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Date:
23 April 2013
The CCAPS Climate Security Vulnerability Model (CSVM) aims to identify places most likely vulnerable to climate security concerns in Africa. This document outlines the general mapping process used for the vulnerability model, the rationale for inclusion of particular indicators in the model, and the specific process for calculating vulnerability.
Advances in Mapping Climate Security Vulnerability in Africa
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Advances in Mapping Climate Security Vulnerability in Africa
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Date:
22 April 2013
In Research Brief No. 13, CCAPS researchers present the Climate Security Vulnerability Model which identifies the locations of chronic vulnerability to climate security concerns in Africa. This version of the model incorporates updated data sources, scales the data in a new way to capture differences in local vulnerabilities, and experiments with alternative formulas to determine how these various risk factors coalesce to impact local vulnerability.
Of Climate Change and Crystal Balls
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Of Climate Change and Crystal Balls
Date:
20 December 2012
The Air and Space Power Journal – Africa and Francophonie, a quarterly publication of the U.S. Air Force, featured an article by CCAPS researchers on the future consequences of climate change. The authors put forth the CCAPS model of vulnerability as an approach to identify where, when, and how climate-related events will disrupt Africa’s security.
Spatial Vulnerability of Rural Nigeria to Climate Change
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Spatial Vulnerability of Rural Nigeria to Climate Change
Date:
31 October 2012
Ignatius Madu's article in the International Journal of Climate Change explores the spatial patterns of vulnerability to climate change in Nigeria, finding that the more vulnerable households are in northern states that are characterized by a high degree of rurality. Dr. Madu is a winner of the CCAPS Call for Papers on environmental security.
"Ground Truthing" Vulnerability in Africa
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"Ground Truthing" Vulnerability in Africa
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Date:
01 May 2012

In CCAPS Research Brief No. 4, Jared Berenter provides findings from field research testing sub-national vulnerability maps. Field interviews supported many of the intuitions of CCAPS maps but also identified sources of divergence related to weighting population density, drought definitions, and challenges in capturing cross-border vulnerability. 

"Ground Truthing" Vulnerability and Adaptation in Africa
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"Ground Truthing" Vulnerability and Adaptation in Africa
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Date:
01 March 2012

Researchers summarize findings of field research to ground truth the validity of CCAPS’ sub-national vulnerability assessments. With definitions of vulnerability and adaptation influencing how donors and recipients prioritize resources, the adaptation agenda presents new questions about how to systematically identify climate change vulnerability.

Vulnerability to Climate Change in West Africa
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Vulnerability to Climate Change in West Africa
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Date:
01 March 2012
In CCAPS Student Working Paper No. 4, Emily Joiner, Derell Kennedo, and Jesse Sampson expand on the CCAPS vulnerability model by incorporating new data on the political economy of governments as it may relate to their willingness and ability to adapt to climate change. Case studies include Nigeria and Guinea-Bissau.
Mapping and Modeling Climate Security Vulnerability: Workshop Report
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Mapping and Modeling Climate Security Vulnerability: Workshop Report
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Date:
01 October 2011

The CCAPS program held a workshop on May 16-17, 2011 to explore issues related to mapping and modeling climate vulnerability. Bringing together a range of experts, the workshop sought to forge tighter ties among the community of experts in this area, identify best practices, think through research challenges, and inform public debate.

Assessing Climate Vulnerability in North Africa
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Assessing Climate Vulnerability in North Africa
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Date:
01 August 2011
In CCAPS Student Working Paper No. 3, graduate students Sanjeet Deka, Christian Glakas, and Marc Olivier refine the CCAPS vulnerability model to account for region-specific characteristics relevant to North Africa, including migration, water resources, and terrorism. Sudan appears to be the most vulnerable country in the region.
Vulnerability to Climate Change: An Assessment of East and Central Africa
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Vulnerability to Climate Change: An Assessment of East and Central Africa
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Date:
01 August 2011
In CCAPS Student Working Paper No. 2, Bonnie Doty, Erika Grajeda, Pace Phillips, and Atul Shrestha outline the potential impact of climate change on security in East/Central Africa. Western Ethiopia, southern Sudan, eastern Burundi, and the tri-border region between Uganda, Sudan, and the DRC are identified as vulnerable to climate change.
Water Resource Stress and Food Insecurity in Southern Africa
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Water Resource Stress and Food Insecurity in Southern Africa
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Date:
01 August 2011
In CCAPS Student Working Paper No. 1, Sachin Shah, Sarah Williams, and Shu Yang examine countries' vulnerability and their ability to minimize the effects of climate change. Case studies include Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, Zambia, and Zimbabwe.
Locating Climate Insecurity
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Locating Climate Insecurity
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Date:
01 June 2011
In CCAPS Policy Brief No. 3, Joshua Busby, Todd Smith, and Kaiba White identify which areas in Africa are most vulnerable to climate change, and why, at the most detailed scale possible. Africa is vulnerable to climate change, partly because of geography, and partly because of the low adaptive capacity of many African countries.
Mapping Climate Change And Security In North Africa
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Mapping Climate Change And Security In North Africa
Date:
17 November 2010
In this German Marshall Fund report, Joshua Busby, Kaiba White, and Todd Smith examine how climate change and physical sources of vulnerability to natural hazards might intersect with North Africa’s various demographic, social, and political challenges.
Locating Climate Insecurity: Where Are the Most Vulnerable Places in Africa?
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Locating Climate Insecurity: Where Are the Most Vulnerable Places in Africa?
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Date:
01 August 2010
In CCAPS Working Paper No. 1, Joshua Busby, Todd Smith, Kaiba White, and Shawn Strange discuss the CCAPS vulnerability model that combines data on physical, socioeconomic, and political insecurities. The researchers then uses geographic information systems (GIS) to locate the confluence of these various types of vulnerability.
After Copenhagen Climate Governance and the Road Ahead
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After Copenhagen Climate Governance and the Road Ahead
Date:
01 August 2010

Joshua Busby discusses the outcomes of the Copenhagen conference and provides a roadmap for global climate change institutions to address perhaps the most difficult collective action problem the world has faced in this working paper by the International Institutions and Global Governance Program at the Council on Foreign Relations.

Feeding Insecurity? Poverty, Weak States, and Climate Change
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Feeding Insecurity? Poverty, Weak States, and Climate Change
Date:
01 January 2010

Joshua Busby examines the relationship between environmental quality, poverty, and security in his chapter in Confronting Poverty. The chapter explores what may be gained from efforts to “securitize” climate change, the evidence underpinning this, and varied arguments on the links between climate change and conflict.